The Chicken Little Mentality
Tuesday, October 21st, 2008
Recent events in our economy have revealed what was known by experienced real estate agents for a long time - property values had exceeded sustainable levels. Another underlying cause for the economic woes was that credit was being extended to those unable to repay the mortgage. Having these “under qualified” buyers enter the real estate market served to exacerbate the problem of rising prices and not enough inventory. An article by Steven A. Holmes in The New York Times published September 30, 1999, declared that “Fannie Mae eases credit to aid mortgage lending”. The article stated ” in a move that could help increase home ownership rates among minorities and low-income consumers, the Fannie Mae Corporation is easing the credit requirements on loans that it will purchase from banks and other lenders”. The stated purpose of this program was to give mortgages to individuals whose credit was not good enough to qualify under existing conditions for a conventional loan. Does anyone else see a problem here? Although the contenders for blame are many, this one stands out.
After directing Fannie Mae to ease credit restrictions in 1999, the Department of Housing and Urban Development proposed that by the year 2001, fifty percent of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac’s loans be to low and moderate income groups. There were racial overtones to this rationale, admitted to by Fannie Mae officials, but I dare not go there. Suffice to say, these decisions made in the “roaring 90’s” have been a major contributor to the economic melt-down. Home ownership never has been a fundamental right. It is a privilege extended to those who can afford it.
During the boom years extending from the 90’s into the first half of 2007, home ownership was within anyone’s grasp who was breathing and had some verifiable income. In many areas, houses were in short supply. As inventory stayed low and demand increased, prices for available homes soared well beyond levels which could be sustained. With the collapse of easy mortgage money and bank foreclosures on loan defaults, the real estate market bubble burst.
As stated in one of my earlier articles, Black Mountain had largely escaped the real estate market collapse experienced by many areas around the country, although home prices have decreased slightly over the last year. For buyers, this is a unique opportunity, since a decline in property values in our area is rare indeed. My confidence level is high that those with good credit and high income to debt ratios will benefit by the current economic slow-down. Mortgage money is available to those who can qualify under the tighter lending guidelines. As of this writing, there are over two hundred homes available within the Black Mountain zip code listed in the MLS. The selection of homes has never been better nor prices more attractive. The “sky is not falling” on the real estate market in the Swannanoa Valley area. Buying real property has been and will always be the most secure long-term investment that one can make. Buying the right property, in the right area, at the right price will always be a wise investment decision. Now is a great opportunity for buyers with wisdom.
Submitted by Sid Blake for publication in the Black Mountain News.





